Sage Therapeutics Stock Forecast
Strong day for Sage Therapeutics stock price on Friday rising 6.37% to $13.94
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Sage Therapeutics stock price gained 6.37% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from $13.11 to $13.94. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.87% from a day low at $13.45 to a day high of $13.97. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 4.58% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -40 thousand shares and in total, 875 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.19 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $14.58 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -46.33% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $5.44 and $7.83 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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SAGE Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 10.90%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Sage Therapeutics stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $16.14. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $13.67. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Sage Therapeutics stock
Sage Therapeutics finds support from accumulated volume at $13.28 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.520 between high and low, or 3.87%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.93%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $13.39 (-3.92%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SAGE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Sage Therapeutics to open at $13.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.94 and $14.94, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.00 (+/-7.15%) up or down from last closing price. If Sage Therapeutics takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 14.30% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $14.00 (0.43%) than the support at $13.28 (4.73%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Sage Therapeutics stock A Buy?
Sage Therapeutics holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.917 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Sage Therapeutics of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $13.79 ( 1.10%) | $13.94 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SAGE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 14.31 | 2.63 % | |
| R2 | 14.11 | 1.21 % | ||
| R1 | 13.99 | 0.325 % | ||
| Current price: | 13.94 | |||
| Support | S1 | 13.59 | -2.52 % | |
| S2 | 13.47 | -3.41 % | ||
| S3 | 13.27 | -4.83 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 15.63 | 12.12 % | |
| R2 | 15.44 | 10.76 % | ||
| R1 | 14.00 | 0.430 % | ||
| Current price | 13.94 | |||
| Support | S1 | 13.28 | -4.73% | |
| S2 | 13.04 | -6.49% | ||
| S3 | 12.57 | -9.83% |
FAQ
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